{"id":133,"date":"2026-05-20T20:09:21","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T20:09:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cityrelocationnews.com\/?p=133"},"modified":"2026-05-20T20:09:21","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T20:09:21","slug":"a-republican-bloodbath-in-the-texas-senate-primary-is-giving-democrats-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cityrelocationnews.com\/?p=133","title":{"rendered":"A Republican Bloodbath in the Texas Senate Primary Is Giving Democrats Hope"},"content":{"rendered":"
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In late April, a group of women with jangly earrings and effervescent energy sat in a beer garden in San Antonio with plastic cups of red wine in front of them. They introduced themselves as Carol, Mona, and Susan. \u201cWe call each other the Golden Girls, because we do so much together,\u201d Susan said. The evening\u2019s entertainment was a meet and greet with Republicans running for elected office. The women had already checked out Brandon Herrera, a congressional candidate, in more ways than one. (\u201cThis might be the one time I vote for somebody by the way he looks,\u201d Mona said.) But the night\u2019s main draw was the Texas attorney general, Ken Paxton, the far-right agitator who hopes to wrest a Senate seat away from the incumbent, John Cornyn. Earlier this spring, Cornyn eked out a win in the primary, but, because neither candidate earned a majority, the two men will compete in a runoff, on May 26th. On Tuesday, Trump endorsed Paxton, giving him a significant boost. But prolonged Republican infighting, combined with growing anti-Trump sentiment, has resulted in a Senate race that seems more competitive than anyone would have predicted a year ago. Texas Democrats, wary after years of predictions that a blue Texas is just around the corner, are allowing themselves to hope again, cautiously.<\/p>\n

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Cornyn, who is currently serving his fourth term in the Senate, has the kind of voting record you\u2019d expect from a Texas Republican: anti-abortion, anti-immigration, pro-gun. In 2012, the National Journal<\/em> listed him as the second most conservative member of the Senate. But, according to the Golden Girls, Cornyn was a \u201cRINO<\/em>\u201d\u2014Republican in name only. \u201cI\u2019m very anti career politician, and especially, I\u2019m sorry, but I feel like he\u2019s not one hundred per cent behind our President,\u201d Carol said.<\/p>\n

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That may technically be true\u2014according to Cornyn\u2019s campaign, he has voted with President Donald Trump only 99.2 per cent of the time. The Golden Girls dismissed Cornyn\u2019s showy embrace of Trump\u2014he recently called him \u201cthe most consequential President of our lifetime,\u201d and proposed renaming an around seventeen-hundred-mile stretch of road \u201cTrump Interstate\u201d\u2014as \u201cjust talk.\u201d<\/p>\n

Although the Golden Girls were more enthusiastic about Paxton, they were aware that he wasn\u2019t a perfect candidate, either. Carol held up her phone to show me that she had just been asking ChatGPT about the attorney general\u2019s controversies. Since riding the Tea Party wave to prominence in Texas politics, Paxton has been plagued by financial allegations, personal scandals, and whistle-blower complaints from his employees. In 2023, after being accused of abusing the power of his office to support a donor, he was impeached by the Texas House. The majority of Republicans there voted to oust him, but he was acquitted by the Texas Senate. Paxton\u2019s wife, Angela, a state senator, listened to the proceedings, which included testimony about her husband\u2019s alleged extramarital affair, but was barred from voting. Then, last year, Angela\u2014who once snuck her husband out of their house to avoid his being served a subpoena\u2014announced that she was divorcing him \u201con biblical grounds.\u201d (Paxton has also been accused of having an affair with an aspiring Christian influencer.) The Golden Girls were bothered, but not overly so. \u201cThat\u2019s not a good decision that he\u2019s made, but what matters is what he\u2019s doing for the state and for the country,\u201d Carol said. \u201cThat outweighs his personal indiscretions.\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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The Republican primary has been one of the most expensive in recent history, with both sides spending freely on attack ads. (\u201cKen Paxton has the ethics of a strip club owner\u201d; \u201cJohn Cornyn wants to take our guns.\u201d) The runoff has prolonged the conflict, with one pundit calling it a \u201cbloodbath\u201d and a \u201ccivil war.\u201d Meanwhile, the Democrats have settled on an appealing candidate, the fresh-faced state legislator and seminary student James Talarico. All of this made the Golden Girls nervous. \u201cI probably shouldn\u2019t say this, but I am terrified of James Talarico,\u201d Mona said.<\/p>\n

Onstage, a man introduced Herrera, calling him Mr. YouTuber\u2014he gained fame as a firearms influencer before turning to politics\u2014and Herrera, in turn, introduced Paxton. \u201cIt\u2019s a little embarrassing when we have some of the least conservative so-called conservatives in the entire country,\u201d Herrera said. \u201cIt is my pleasure here to present the man who is going to finish this RINO<\/em>-hunting venture, and get John Cornyn out of the Senate, and actually represent Texas the way it deserves.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Republican race has played out as a face-off between the power structures of conservative Texas politics. \u201cPaxton has his ear to the ground with the activist base. He\u2019s more in tune and connected with the right-wing-podcast influencer types,\u201d Brendan Steinhauser, a Republican political consultant based in Austin and Washington, D.C., said. \u201cCornyn is much more comfortable with, and supported by, the donor class, the Republican women\u2019s groups. Those are his people.\u201d (Steinhauser ran Cornyn\u2019s 2014 campaign, and has also worked for Angela Paxton.)<\/p>\n

Cornyn is tall, long-faced, and dignified, with the mien of an aging cowboy. (He is seventy-four.) He has characterized the race in ethical terms. \u201cMr. Paxton has a checkered background. He is a con man and a fraud, and I think the people of Texas know that,\u201d he has said. \u201cI am not going to turn over the Senate seat that was once held by Sam Houston to someone like him.\u201d He has referred to Paxton\u2019s campaign as \u201ca con man\u2019s vanity project.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Center for Effective Lawmaking, a nonpartisan research group, has consistently rated Cornyn as among the Senate\u2019s \u201cmost effective\u201d members: his bills often address high-impact issues, and they become law at a notably higher rate than many of his colleagues\u2019. But Cornyn\u2019s willingness to work with Democrats to get legislation passed is increasingly seen as a liability within his party. It didn\u2019t help that, in the wake of the school shooting in Uvalde, Texas, Cornyn signalled openness to a mild form of gun control, or that he didn\u2019t vote to overturn the 2020 election. \u201cCornyn\u2019s supporters among the professional political class have had a hard time really taking to heart that, whatever they might think about it, Paxton resonates more with the Republican base right now,\u201d James Henson, the director of the nonpartisan Texas Politics Project, at the University of Texas at Austin, said.<\/p>\n

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Paxton\u2019s declaration of war against a capable, if not beloved, senator might have felt like a canny move in the first months of 2025, when Trump\u2019s election seemed to portend a sustained MAGA<\/em> moment. But now that support for the President is flagging, even in Texas, it\u2019s looking more like Paxton has pushed a sure Republican win into uncertain territory. A few months after he announced his candidacy, the Cook Political Report<\/em> moved the Senate race from \u201cSolid Republican\u201d to \u201cLikely Republican.\u201d If Paxton wins the nomination, Cook<\/em> noted, that designation will shift again, to \u201cLean Republican.\u201d<\/p>\n

Paxton\u2019s disruption of the established order, in a state where things had been working out quite well for Republicans, reportedly angered some of his long-term backers, including the West Texas oil tycoon Tim Dunn. Dunn, a longtime Paxton donor who has been credited with helping to shape (and fund) the state\u2019s hard-right turn, has apparently been sitting this race out, according to Texas Monthly<\/em>. Cornyn has raised much more money than Paxton, and has racked up many more prominent endorsements, including from the former governor Rick Perry. (The state\u2019s current leading Republicans, including Governor Greg Abbott, Senator Ted Cruz, and Lieutenant Governor Dan Patrick, have not endorsed either man.) Paxton has attempted to frame the financial disparity as evidence of his grassroots bona fides. \u201cHe spent a hundred million dollars, and I spent five-point-eight,\u201d he claimed, after the primary. (In the first quarter of 2026, Talarico significantly out-raised both Cornyn and Paxton.)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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After Cornyn came out ahead in March, Trump promised that he would endorse a candidate \u201csoon.\u201d The prevailing wisdom at the time was that the President would endorse Cornyn, Paxton would drop out, the friendly fire would stop, and Republican donors could conserve their funds for the general election in November. But Paxton schmoozed with Trump at a Mar-a-Lago gala, and MAGA<\/em> hard-liners applied pressure on his behalf. Paxton was expected to have an edge in the runoff, where a small fraction of highly partisan voters could sway the outcome. Then, on Tuesday, Trump endorsed Paxton, writing on social media that Paxton was \u201csomeone who has always been extremely loyal to me and our AMAZING MAGA MOVEMENT.\u201d Cornyn, Trump added, was \u201ca good man\u00a0.\u00a0.\u00a0. but he was not supportive of me when times were tough.\u201d<\/p>\n

The situation\u2014a midterm Senate election during an unpopular Trump Presidency, with Democrats running a charismatic young unknown who\u2019s captured the attention of the national press\u2014may call to mind 2018, when Beto O\u2019Rourke came within three points of unseating Ted Cruz. Texas has become more conservative in the intervening years, but Talarico is better positioned than O\u2019Rourke was. A recent poll conducted by the Texas Politics Project showed Talarico beating both Cornyn and Paxton in head-to-head matchups, by seven and eight points, respectively; in 2018, O\u2019Rourke never led Cruz in T.P.P.\u2019s polling. Henson attributed Talarico\u2019s strong showing to the lack of consensus in the Republican electorate.<\/p>\n

It remains to be seen whether the effects of this spring\u2019s skirmishes will still be felt in the fall. Most Republicans will likely support whichever candidate comes out ahead, but around four in ten currently say that they won\u2019t vote for their non-preferred candidate. The Republican polling firm Ragnar Research recently wrote about a \u201ctroubling pattern\u201d in its data: reliable Republican voters were \u201cshowing signs of disengagement, either sitting out this cycle or, in some cases, shifting their partisan affiliation entirely.\u201d Henson echoed this sentiment: \u201cI think there\u2019s a real fear, this time, that a significant share of Republican voters will stay home, and that number doesn\u2019t have to be that big, because of the anticipated enthusiasm among Democratic voters.\u201d<\/p>\n

Common wisdom among Democrats is that Talarico would stand a better chance against Paxton than against Cornyn. It\u2019s true that it would make for a stark contrast, the minister-in-training and the philanderer. But Cornyn is not necessarily the stronger candidate. Paxton voters are more intense in their contempt for Cornyn than vice versa. As odious as Paxton may be to his opponents, he is more in alignment with the heart of his party, and he may be better positioned to mobilize voters. Texans, on the whole, have broadly negative feelings about Democrats, and trying to win over Cornyn supporters may end up being a fool\u2019s errand. The best-case scenario for Democrats may instead be for Republicans to stay home in November, and Cornyn looks like the candidate who is more likely to leave them disengaged.<\/p>\n

At the San Antonio event, Paxton made for an unlikely firebrand: he was dressed in khakis, and spoke with a mild, lulling voice. He touted his record suing the Obama and Biden Administrations and his fight against what he characterized as an election stolen from Trump in 2020. (\u201cHe deserves another term,\u201d a man near me grumbled.) After twenty minutes, he thanked his audience for being \u201ctrue patriots.\u201d In the front row, a table of baby-faced young men in sports coats listened intently. \u201cWe, a small group of us, can literally change this country,\u201d Paxton said, and the Golden Girls gave him a rousing round of applause.\u00a0\u2666<\/p>\n

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Rachel Monroe writes that Senator John Cornyn is battling the state\u2019s attorney general, Ken Paxton, and that James Talarico, the Democratic nominee, may benefit. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":132,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[40],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-133","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-letter-from-the-southwest"],"yoast_head":"\nA Republican Bloodbath in the Texas Senate Primary Is Giving Democrats Hope - City Relocation News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cityrelocationnews.com\/?p=133\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A Republican Bloodbath in the Texas Senate Primary Is Giving Democrats Hope - 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