{"id":568,"date":"2026-06-18T11:35:31","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T11:35:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cityrelocationnews.com\/?p=568"},"modified":"2026-06-18T11:35:31","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T11:35:31","slug":"the-spectacular-failure-and-ruinous-costs-of-the-iran-war","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cityrelocationnews.com\/?p=568","title":{"rendered":"The Spectacular Failure and Ruinous Costs of the Iran War"},"content":{"rendered":"
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You\u2019re reading Global Notes<\/strong>, Ishaan Tharoor\u2019s weekly column on international politics.<\/em><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\u201cShips of the world, start your engines,\u201d President Donald Trump urged Sunday, on Truth Social. \u201cLet the oil flow!\u201d He was writing after announcing an apparent deal with Iran to halt the ongoing war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a choke point in global supply chains which the Iranian regime has largely blocked since the United States and Israel began their bombing campaign at the end of February. The terms of the initial memorandum of understanding were leaked in the media and later corroborated by U.S. officials. The memorandum also provides for an end to the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports and vessels, and an over-all cessation of hostilities, including in Lebanon, which is in the grip of an Israeli invasion. In the early phase of the war, Trump said he was gifting Iranians a chance to overthrow their theocratic rulers, but, though weakened, the regime remains in place, as does its arsenal of ballistic missiles and other offensive capabilities. Over the weekend, Trump told the Wall Street Journal<\/em> that he \u201cnever cared about regime change\u201d and that the current leadership in Tehran marked \u201cthe most rational group yet.\u201d According to the leaked draft, Iran will vow not to pursue nuclear weapons, a reiteration of a pledge made many times before. Reports also suggest that Iran expects to receive, through some unspecified payment mechanism, potentially hundreds of billions of dollars in de-facto reparations for damage caused by the war. A number of regional intermediaries, including Pakistan and Qatar, helped broker this framework agreement, which was reportedly signed by Trump and Iranian officials on Wednesday, two days before an announced signing ceremony in Switzerland was supposed to take place. Israel appears to have been sidelined as the truce was worked out, much to the chagrin of its political leadership.<\/p>\n

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Early on Wednesday, a joint communiqu\u00e9 from the members of the Group of Seven (G-7) at a summit in \u00c9vian-les-Bains, France, which Trump attended, hailed the \u201chistoric opportunity\u201d presented by the agreement and indicated that it is \u201cready to contribute to its implementation.\u201d Later in the day, the President told reporters about the agreement, \u201cNobody knows what it is but it\u2019s very strong.\u201d But the agreement isn\u2019t final, he said, adding, \u201cIt\u2019s a memorandum of understanding and, if I don\u2019t like it, we\u2019ll go back to shooting at them, dropping bombs on their head.\u201d Apparently, he did like it, given the reports of its signing. Still, it\u2019s difficult to see what\u2019s emerging as anything other than a humiliating climbdown for a President who started a war of choice vowing to transform the Middle East. Instead, the war and its aftermath may represent a defining failure for Trump\u2019s foreign policy\u2014one that may even have strengthened Iran in the region. The U.S. and Iran are supposed to spend the next two months working out the details of a wider agreement regarding the latter\u2019s nuclear program. If they reach any broader settlement, it\u2019s doubtful that its terms would be superior to what was reportedly on offer right before the war began, or to what was established by the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action\u2014the 2015 nuclear deal forged by President Barack Obama with other world powers, which Trump scrapped during his first term.<\/p>\n

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During the three and a half months since the start of war, American and Israeli air strikes hit hundreds of targets in Iran in dozens of cities, killing at least thirty-four hundred people, injuring thousands more, and destroying or damaging civilian infrastructure, including universities, schools, and water facilities. Israel\u2019s parallel operations in Lebanon, to punish Iran\u2019s proxy Hezbollah, have killed even more people and displaced close to a fifth of the population. Iran\u2019s reprisals hit targets across the region, wounding hundreds and grounding flights in the big cities of the Gulf. A return of some degree of stability would, of course, be a relief, but even many who supported Trump at the start of the war are frustrated by the course of events. Some Iranian dissidents feel abandoned by a White House that once embraced their cause. Washington hawks who seemed content for the President to disregard Congress in rushing to war are now demanding more congressional scrutiny over the terms of a future peace. And, in Israel, both Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu\u2019s opponents and his coalition partners see the developments as a disaster for Israeli national-security interests, with Hezbollah still standing in Lebanon and the Iranian regime not just standing but newly emboldened.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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The war has always been unpopular in this country. Close to sixty per cent of American adults surveyed by Pew believe that the U.S. made the \u201cwrong decision\u201d in attacking Iran. In May, Pentagon officials estimated the war had already cost U.S. taxpayers some twenty-nine billion dollars. Around the same time, the Washington Post<\/em> reported that the U.S. had used up much of its inventory of advanced missile-defense interceptors, expending more of these munitions in defense of Israeli territory than Israeli forces had themselves. In April, Tom Fletcher, the United Nations\u2019 humanitarian chief, noted that the sums being spent by the U.S. on its \u201creckless war\u201d could fund the U.N.\u2019s \u201cplan to save eighty-seven million lives\u201d in dire humanitarian need around the world.<\/p>\n

Whatever hardships Americans may have endured\u2014including higher gas prices and creeping inflation\u2014far greater ones have been felt elsewhere. The downstream impact of the conflict has been acute in Asia, Europe, and Africa, where there is far greater reliance on fossil fuels coming from the Persian Gulf, and greater vulnerability to the soaring costs of energy, fertilizers, and industrial chemicals exported from the region. Fatih Birol, the head of the International Energy Agency, said in April that the combined oil-and-gas crisis was more grave than the oil shocks of the nineteen-seventies, and that \u201cthe world has never experienced a disruption to energy supply of such magnitude.\u201d<\/p>\n

To deal with surging prices and diminishing reserves, some countries have implemented policies to ration cooking gas and gasoline. Others, such as Pakistan and the Philippines, have shuttered businesses and schools and tried to mandate working from home. Supply chains for plastics, fertilizers, and other vital supplies have also been blocked. The resulting costs to productivity will take a while to gauge. But, earlier this month, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, which is made up of thirty-eight advanced economies around the world, forecast that global growth is now expected to slow from 3.4 per cent in 2025 to 2.8 per cent in 2026, a contraction caused primarily by the effects of the war. An by the Institute for Economics and Peace, a nonpartisan think tank headquartered in Sydney, forecast that a resumption of hostilities with Iran could cost the global economy some $2.2 trillion. The U.N. warned that spiking costs could drive forty-five million people around the world into acute hunger if the war continues through June.<\/p>\n

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The reopening of the strait, moreover, won\u2019t provide an immediate panacea. The International Transport Workers\u2019 Federation, which represents many of the sailors who are stuck aboard ships stalled in the Persian Gulf, said that \u201cthe backlog of stranded vessels and the need for crew changes and rest, mean a realistic return\u202fto normal shipping patterns is weeks, if not months, away.\u201d In a memo this month, analysts at the Dutch multinational firm I.N.G. described the impact on fertilizer and food markets as \u201ca tragedy unfolding in slow motion.\u201d They acknowledged that a truce could lead to a resumption in flows of some goods, but warned that \u201cthe outlook is likely to remain fragile as a more permanent deal could be challenging to secure.\u201d The markets have to price in the unpredictability and the volatility that have characterized Trump\u2019s approach so far.<\/p>\n

The chaos has compounded existing difficulties for poorer or developing economies, many of which were already wracked by public-debt crises that deepened in the aftermath of the COVID<\/em> pandemic. \u201cThe global economy is not falling off of a cliff, but it has downshifted sharply and many developing economies are entering this shock with thinner buffers and fewer shock absorbers,\u201d Ayhan Kose, the World Bank\u2019s deputy chief economist, said last week. David Miliband, the head of the International Rescue Committee (I.R.C.), describes \u201cshock absorbers\u201d as the sorts of groups in civil society, in addition to state institutions, \u201cthat catch people when they fall.\u201d They could be \u201ca health service that\u2019s able to isolate you if you\u2019ve got Ebola\u201d or \u201ca cash-support scheme in Lebanon that\u2019s able to support you for more than a month for a war that\u2019s gone on for three months,\u201d he told me. But there are fewer such services now, not least because many of the wealthiest nations have slashed their commitments to international aid; Oxfam calculated that the G-7 countries alone cut their aid budgets by a collective forty-eight billion dollars between 2024 and 2025\u2014the largest reduction of its kind in history. Most of this drop was caused by the Trump Administration\u2019s destruction of U.S.A.I.D., under DOGE<\/em>, but other nations didn\u2019t try to fill that void; instead, they quietly followed suit.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Trump\u2019s move dislodged what Miliband called \u201can anchor\u201d in the global humanitarian system. \u201cIf you pull up the anchor in choppy seas, the boat rocks backward and forward, and the passengers get seasick,\u201d he said. \u201cThat\u2019s the situation we\u2019re in.\u201d In a recent report, the I.R.C. noted that many of the world\u2019s worst humanitarian crises, including the tragedy in Sudan, \u201chave only intensified\u201d since the Iran war began, \u201cwhile the systems meant to contain them are breaking down.\u201d As Miliband put it, \u201cThe Iran war couldn\u2019t have happened at a worse time, and it set off a chain of events that\u2019s very damaging.\u201d<\/p>\n

That turmoil did not seem to be weighing on the man most responsible for unleashing it. On Wednesday, at the G-7 summit, Trump entered a meeting room late and, while taking a seat alongside other world leaders, announced, to their laughter, \u201cI\u2019m the boss.\u201d\u00a0\u2666<\/p>\n

Read more J\u00fcrgen Habermas Defended Reason in a Darkening Age<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ishaan Tharoor on the agreement between the U.S. and Iran to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":567,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[77],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-568","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-global-notes"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Spectacular Failure and Ruinous Costs of the Iran War - City Relocation News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cityrelocationnews.com\/?p=568\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Spectacular Failure and Ruinous Costs of the Iran War - City Relocation News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ishaan Tharoor on the agreement between the U.S. and Iran to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/cityrelocationnews.com\/?p=568\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"City Relocation News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-06-18T11:35:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"admin\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"9 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=568#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=568\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"admin\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/3e7ce0c0c60d21e12a5ac61fb2b786d4\"},\"headline\":\"The Spectacular Failure and Ruinous Costs of the Iran War\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-06-18T11:35:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=568\"},\"wordCount\":1755,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=568#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/06\\\/ed06a6a30fb80eef9d53e2d4c86c4b73.webp\",\"articleSection\":[\"Global Notes\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=568#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=568\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cityrelocationnews.com\\\/?p=568\",\"name\":\"The Spectacular Failure and Ruinous Costs of the Iran War - 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